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Red53
77559.4
641329.4
414612.7
Blue83
248624.5
116516.5
240327.9
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions497802040601001201401605383

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.40.3
24.724.4
Auto7.9
Teleop20.2
End1.3
red by 1.5
27.91.0
25.726.7
Auto7.3
Teleop20.1
End0.6
Second
4146
#18
12.70.3
8.27.9
Auto2.5
Teleop9.7
End0.4
blue by 11.8
24.51.0
25.426.4
Auto9.6
Teleop14.0
End0.8
Third
7755
#17
9.40.3
14.814.5
Auto2.5
Teleop4.7
End2.2
blue by 7.1
1165
#19
16.51.0
16.317.3
Auto4.8
Teleop10.7
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
15%Melody oddsMissed84%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
2%Ensemble oddsEarned2%Ensemble oddsMissed