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Red81
248624.5
385324.0
635218.4
Blue52
240327.9
414612.7
970414.6
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions655201001508152

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.51.5
24.125.6
Auto9.6
Teleop14.0
End0.8
blue by 3.5
27.90.2
27.828.0
Auto7.3
Teleop20.1
End0.6
Second
24.01.5
19.020.4
Auto6.7
Teleop16.6
End0.7
red by 9.4
14.60.2
11.411.6
Auto7.4
Teleop7.0
End0.1
Third
6352
#10
18.41.5
14.115.6
Auto6.4
Teleop10.5
End1.4
red by 5.7
4146
#18
12.70.2
9.59.7
Auto2.5
Teleop9.7
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
45%Melody oddsEarned15%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed1%Ensemble oddsMissed