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Red66
49823.7
116516.5
394415.7
Blue81
641329.4
385324.0
770311.3
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions60682040801001206681

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
498
#15
23.70.4
22.322.7
Auto4.7
Teleop18.2
End0.8
blue by 5.7
29.41.4
26.227.6
Auto7.9
Teleop20.2
End1.3
Second
1165
#19
16.50.4
17.017.4
Auto4.8
Teleop10.7
End0.9
blue by 7.5
24.01.4
24.025.4
Auto6.7
Teleop16.6
End0.7
Third
3944
#12
15.70.4
15.515.9
Auto6.6
Teleop7.2
End1.9
red by 4.4
7703
#14
11.31.4
10.311.7
Auto4.1
Teleop6.5
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
54%Melody oddsEarned67%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
4%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed