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Red28
970414.6
80876.4
770311.3
Blue88
414612.7
240327.9
943227.7
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32740204060801001201402888

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
14.60.4
15.314.9
Auto7.4
Teleop7.0
End0.1
blue by 13.4
27.91.8
25.327.0
Auto7.3
Teleop20.1
End0.6
Second
7703
#14
11.30.4
11.711.3
Auto4.1
Teleop6.5
End0.7
blue by 16.4
27.71.8
26.428.2
Auto9.8
Teleop16.9
End0.9
Third
8087
#20
6.40.4
6.86.4
Auto2.0
Teleop2.9
End1.5
blue by 6.3
4146
#18
12.71.8
10.011.8
Auto2.5
Teleop9.7
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
20%Melody oddsMissed77%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed1%Ensemble oddsMissed