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Red55
90915.4
394415.7
647917.3
Blue21
80876.4
414612.7
247818.4
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions333702060801001201405521

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.31.7
16.718.4
Auto3.9
Teleop12.5
End0.9
blue by 1.1
18.40.8
13.012.2
Auto6.9
Teleop10.6
End0.9
Second
3944
#12
15.71.7
11.313.0
Auto6.6
Teleop7.2
End1.9
red by 3.0
4146
#18
12.70.8
9.78.9
Auto2.5
Teleop9.7
End0.4
Third
9091
#13
5.41.7
2.13.8
Auto1.0
Teleop3.4
End1.0
blue by 1.0
8087
#20
6.40.8
10.39.5
Auto2.0
Teleop2.9
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
5%Melody oddsEarned6%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed