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Red46
247810.9
325628.0
26629.0
Blue63
635216.9
265920.8
441519.7
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45513035405560654663

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.00.3
22.823.1
Auto11.2
Teleop14.8
End2.0
red by 7.2
20.81.7
16.318.0
Auto6.3
Teleop10.9
End3.6
Second
2478
#33
10.90.5
9.510.0
Auto4.2
Teleop5.5
End1.2
blue by 8.8
4415
#12
19.71.2
17.118.3
Auto8.0
Teleop11.2
End0.5
Third
2662
#32
9.00.5
9.39.8
Auto4.7
Teleop4.0
End0.3
blue by 7.9
6352
#17
16.91.7
12.314.0
Auto5.1
Teleop9.7
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
26%Melody oddsMissed30%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsEarned