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Red66
905910.9
240317.1
690722.2
Blue12
50599.7
54307.5
970411.4
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3928010205060706612

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.21.7
11.913.5
Auto7.9
Teleop14.2
End0.1
red by 10.8
9704
#34
11.42.2
8.36.1
Auto3.0
Teleop7.7
End0.7
Second
2403
#16
17.11.7
14.616.2
Auto3.6
Teleop11.9
End1.6
red by 7.5
5059
#24
9.72.2
8.16.0
Auto5.2
Teleop3.9
End0.5
Third
9059
#21
10.91.7
7.79.3
Auto2.9
Teleop6.4
End1.6
red by 3.4
5430
#31
7.52.2
10.07.9
Auto3.0
Teleop3.4
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
10%Melody oddsEarned10%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsEarned11%Ensemble oddsMissed