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Red51
45655.7
330919.9
265920.8
Blue42
775513.8
76459.9
385310.8
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions463410203040506070805142

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.81.0
18.219.3
Auto6.3
Teleop10.9
End3.6
red by 7.1
7755
#18
13.80.0
11.511.5
Auto4.5
Teleop7.9
End1.4
Second
19.90.6
14.114.8
Auto6.0
Teleop12.6
End1.2
red by 9.1
3853
#20
10.80.0
10.110.1
Auto3.5
Teleop4.5
End2.8
Third
4565
#36
5.71.0
7.48.4
Auto2.3
Teleop1.8
End1.6
blue by 4.2
7645
#40
9.90.0
10.210.3
Auto2.9
Teleop6.4
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
39%Melody oddsMissed15%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
17%Ensemble oddsMissed16%Ensemble oddsMissed