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Red59
690722.2
49826.3
90917.4
Blue23
385310.8
905910.9
247810.9
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48290204060801005923

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
498
#9
26.30.8
19.720.5
Auto4.7
Teleop21.1
End0.5
red by 15.4
2478
#33
10.90.7
9.58.8
Auto4.2
Teleop5.5
End1.2
Second
22.21.4
13.514.9
Auto7.9
Teleop14.2
End0.1
red by 11.3
9059
#21
10.90.7
9.38.7
Auto2.9
Teleop6.4
End1.6
Third
9091
#19
7.41.4
8.39.7
Auto2.6
Teleop3.7
End1.2
blue by 3.4
3853
#20
10.80.7
10.19.4
Auto3.5
Teleop4.5
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
28%Melody oddsEarned18%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed