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Red69
641316.8
315821.3
41468.4
Blue16
26629.0
72149.8
45655.7
87%Model gave it13%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions462801020406070806916

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3158
#13
21.30.6
16.917.6
Auto7.4
Teleop12.8
End1.1
red by 11.6
7214
#27
9.82.1
9.06.9
Auto3.3
Teleop4.5
End2.0
Second
6413
#14
16.81.0
14.915.9
Auto6.4
Teleop9.8
End0.6
red by 7.8
2662
#32
9.02.1
9.57.5
Auto4.7
Teleop4.0
End0.3
Third
4146
#22
8.41.0
7.99.0
Auto4.0
Teleop4.3
End0.1
red by 2.7
4565
#36
5.72.1
9.07.0
Auto2.3
Teleop1.8
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
12%Melody oddsMissed8%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed