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Red11
54307.5
41468.4
72149.8
Blue26
80127.9
97779.5
364816.9
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions253301020304050601126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7214
#27
9.82.2
6.94.8
Auto3.3
Teleop4.5
End2.0
blue by 7.2
3648
#15
16.90.3
13.613.3
Auto4.7
Teleop10.6
End1.6
Second
4146
#22
8.42.2
9.06.8
Auto4.0
Teleop4.3
End0.1
blue by 1.2
9777
#26
9.50.3
7.26.8
Auto2.7
Teleop4.8
End2.0
Third
5430
#31
7.52.2
7.55.3
Auto3.0
Teleop3.4
End1.2
blue by 0.5
8012
#25
7.90.3
8.17.8
Auto2.7
Teleop5.0
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
7%Melody oddsMissed12%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed