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Red50
656025.9
385310.8
315821.3
Blue78
9918.5
690722.2
325628.0
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions595302040801001205078

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6560
#10
25.90.5
24.824.2
Auto9.1
Teleop14.7
End2.1
blue by 2.1
28.01.6
26.728.3
Auto11.2
Teleop14.8
End2.0
Second
3158
#13
21.30.5
17.617.0
Auto7.4
Teleop12.8
End1.1
blue by 0.9
22.22.7
15.418.1
Auto7.9
Teleop14.2
End0.1
Third
3853
#20
10.80.9
10.59.7
Auto3.5
Teleop4.5
End2.8
red by 2.3
991
#29
8.52.7
6.39.1
Auto4.4
Teleop3.1
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
29%Melody oddsMissed45%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed20%Ensemble oddsMissed