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Red87
603632.9
265920.8
97779.5
Blue26
9918.5
116512.3
50258.5
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7520040601001201408726

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.90.4
28.428.8
Auto10.1
Teleop21.6
End1.2
red by 20.6
12.30.1
9.39.4
Auto2.8
Teleop8.6
End0.8
Second
20.80.6
22.723.3
Auto6.3
Teleop10.9
End3.6
red by 12.3
5025
#38
8.50.1
8.68.7
Auto5.8
Teleop2.1
End0.6
Third
9777
#26
9.50.6
10.010.6
Auto2.7
Teleop4.8
End2.0
red by 1.0
991
#29
8.50.1
6.97.0
Auto4.4
Teleop3.1
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
71%Melody oddsEarned32%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
24%Ensemble oddsEarned6%Ensemble oddsMissed