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Red37
330919.9
325628.0
72149.8
Blue41
50599.7
312828.3
30199.0
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions474720304060703741

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.00.5
23.322.8
Auto11.2
Teleop14.8
End2.0
blue by 0.3
28.30.0
23.423.4
Auto10.6
Teleop16.3
End1.4
Second
19.90.5
12.011.5
Auto6.0
Teleop12.6
End1.2
red by 10.2
5059
#24
9.70.0
9.09.0
Auto5.2
Teleop3.9
End0.5
Third
7214
#27
9.80.8
8.57.7
Auto3.3
Teleop4.5
End2.0
red by 0.7
3019
#35
9.00.0
9.08.9
Auto3.3
Teleop4.6
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
44%Melody oddsMissed20%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed15%Ensemble oddsMissed