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Red46
905910.9
943221.7
97779.5
Blue58
325628.0
385310.8
45655.7
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4747404550554658

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.70.6
21.621.0
Auto6.3
Teleop13.9
End1.5
blue by 6.3
28.00.4
27.327.7
Auto11.2
Teleop14.8
End2.0
Second
9059
#21
10.90.6
10.59.9
Auto2.9
Teleop6.4
End1.6
red by 0.1
3853
#20
10.80.5
9.810.3
Auto3.5
Teleop4.5
End2.8
Third
9777
#26
9.50.6
10.610.0
Auto2.7
Teleop4.8
End2.0
red by 3.8
4565
#36
5.70.5
5.35.8
Auto2.3
Teleop1.8
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
51%Melody oddsEarned29%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
25%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsEarned