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Red60
635216.9
364816.9
116512.3
Blue42
775513.8
80127.9
690722.2
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions42492060801006042

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3648
#15
16.91.5
13.114.6
Auto4.7
Teleop10.6
End1.6
blue by 5.3
22.20.1
22.021.9
Auto7.9
Teleop14.2
End0.1
Second
6352
#17
16.91.5
16.017.5
Auto5.1
Teleop9.7
End2.0
red by 3.1
7755
#18
13.80.1
13.113.0
Auto4.5
Teleop7.9
End1.4
Third
12.31.1
9.410.5
Auto2.8
Teleop8.6
End0.8
red by 4.4
8012
#25
7.90.1
8.48.3
Auto2.7
Teleop5.0
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
44%Melody oddsEarned34%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed