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Red41
950115.5
970411.4
609.8
Blue51
315821.3
30199.0
72149.8
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions41371020305060704151

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9501
#23
15.50.5
14.514.0
Auto6.1
Teleop7.7
End1.6
blue by 5.9
3158
#13
21.31.1
19.320.4
Auto7.4
Teleop12.8
End1.1
Second
9704
#34
11.40.5
11.611.1
Auto3.0
Teleop7.7
End0.7
red by 1.6
7214
#27
9.81.5
7.28.7
Auto3.3
Teleop4.5
End2.0
Third
60
#30
9.80.5
10.59.9
Auto3.0
Teleop5.1
End1.7
red by 0.8
3019
#35
9.01.5
7.49.0
Auto3.3
Teleop4.6
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
22%Melody oddsMissed17%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed