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Red79
603632.9
950115.5
312828.3
Blue62
325628.0
970411.4
690722.2
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions87632040801001201407962

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.90.0
32.532.5
Auto10.1
Teleop21.6
End1.2
red by 4.9
28.00.1
27.427.4
Auto11.2
Teleop14.8
End2.0
Second
28.30.0
27.927.9
Auto10.6
Teleop16.3
End1.4
red by 6.1
22.20.1
21.521.6
Auto7.9
Teleop14.2
End0.1
Third
9501
#23
15.50.0
15.015.0
Auto6.1
Teleop7.7
End1.6
red by 4.1
9704
#34
11.40.1
10.710.8
Auto3.0
Teleop7.7
End0.7