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Red80
690722.2
325628.0
970411.4
Blue73
30199.0
943221.7
441519.7
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6853204060801008073

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.00.1
27.427.5
Auto11.2
Teleop14.8
End2.0
red by 6.3
21.70.2
21.521.7
Auto6.3
Teleop13.9
End1.5
Second
22.20.1
21.621.7
Auto7.9
Teleop14.2
End0.1
red by 2.5
4415
#12
19.70.2
19.519.7
Auto8.0
Teleop11.2
End0.5
Third
9704
#34
11.40.1
10.810.9
Auto3.0
Teleop7.7
End0.7
red by 2.3
3019
#35
9.00.2
8.89.0
Auto3.3
Teleop4.6
End1.1