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Red137
632833.9
50112.6
179645.5
Blue77
12543.9
12617.7
13128.4
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10299809011012013013777

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.50.0
45.545.5
Auto15.0
Teleop25.6
End4.9
red by 1.5
125
#10
43.90.0
43.943.9
Auto14.8
Teleop23.6
End5.6
Second
33.90.0
33.933.9
Auto14.8
Teleop14.7
End4.5
red by 5.5
131
#3
28.40.0
28.428.4
Auto12.1
Teleop11.4
End4.9
Third
501
#31
12.60.0
12.612.6
Auto5.4
Teleop5.2
End2.1
blue by 5.1
126
#54
17.70.0
17.717.7
Auto6.2
Teleop9.3
End2.2