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Red100
179645.5
192220.9
279116.5
Blue54
17359.3
740733.1
22626.7
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12556010015020010054

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.51.0
53.852.8
Auto15.0
Teleop25.6
End4.9
red by 12.4
7407
#28
33.10.3
32.432.1
Auto10.9
Teleop17.8
End4.4
Second
1922
#27
20.91.0
30.829.8
Auto7.5
Teleop10.8
End2.7
red by 11.6
1735
#50
9.30.3
13.212.9
Auto5.6
Teleop2.4
End1.3
Third
16.51.0
20.719.8
Auto6.9
Teleop6.8
End2.8
red by 9.8
2262
#43
6.70.3
13.613.2
Auto6.9
Teleop-0.4
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
97%Melody oddsEarned44%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
93%Ensemble oddsEarned19%Ensemble oddsEarned