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Red80
7825.6
287617.5
50112.6
Blue53
237022.9
715311.9
46724.7
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7476304050607080901008053

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
78
#26
25.60.5
33.934.4
Auto9.8
Teleop14.3
End1.4
red by 0.8
467
#37
24.71.0
25.224.2
Auto9.0
Teleop13.2
End2.5
Second
2876
#21
17.50.5
21.021.6
Auto10.3
Teleop5.0
End2.3
blue by 5.3
2370
#15
22.91.0
30.029.0
Auto10.1
Teleop12.5
End0.3
Third
501
#31
12.60.5
13.013.6
Auto5.4
Teleop5.2
End2.1
red by 0.7
7153
#35
11.91.0
12.311.3
Auto5.4
Teleop4.3
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
60%Melody oddsEarned34%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
63%Ensemble oddsEarned37%Ensemble oddsMissed