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Red63
715311.9
192220.9
105826.9
Blue71
146831.8
63246.0
46724.7
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9180501001506371

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1058
#22
26.95.5
26.932.3
Auto10.1
Teleop14.6
End2.1
blue by 5.0
1468
#16
31.80.0
31.831.8
Auto10.0
Teleop18.3
End3.5
Second
1922
#27
20.99.9
20.930.8
Auto7.5
Teleop10.8
End2.7
blue by 3.8
467
#37
24.70.4
24.725.2
Auto9.0
Teleop13.2
End2.5
Third
7153
#35
11.90.4
11.912.3
Auto5.4
Teleop4.3
End2.2
red by 5.9
6324
#44
6.09.9
6.015.9
Auto3.7
Teleop1.8
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
60%Melody oddsMissed70%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
44%Ensemble oddsEarned37%Ensemble oddsMissed