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Red114
69428.4
740733.1
13128.4
Blue59
45759.1
287725.9
242314.1
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1246405010015020011459

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7407
#28
33.10.6
32.132.7
Auto10.9
Teleop17.8
End4.4
red by 7.1
2877
#39
25.90.5
31.831.3
Auto9.8
Teleop13.3
End2.9
Second
131
#3
28.40.6
37.638.2
Auto12.1
Teleop11.4
End4.9
red by 14.4
2423
#58
14.10.5
20.319.8
Auto6.2
Teleop6.4
End1.4
Third
694
#14
28.40.6
35.135.7
Auto5.8
Teleop19.9
End2.8
red by 19.3
4575
#45
9.10.5
12.712.1
Auto4.4
Teleop4.3
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
94%Melody oddsEarned53%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
90%Ensemble oddsEarned18%Ensemble oddsEarned