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Red59
581333.7
615314.8
862610.6
Blue51
192220.9
172918.0
87245.4
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions82832040601001205951

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.71.1
41.640.5
Auto15.2
Teleop14.7
End3.9
red by 12.7
1922
#27
20.91.7
28.827.0
Auto7.5
Teleop10.8
End2.7
Second
6153
#41
14.81.1
18.717.6
Auto5.1
Teleop9.6
End0.2
blue by 3.2
1729
#23
18.01.7
26.524.8
Auto11.5
Teleop6.3
End0.2
Third
8626
#52
10.61.1
13.612.5
Auto7.5
Teleop2.5
End0.6
red by 5.3
8724
#59
5.41.7
19.417.7
Auto3.1
Teleop1.8
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
71%Melody oddsEarned59%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
21%Ensemble oddsMissed60%Ensemble oddsMissed