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Red67
17732.1
740733.1
78699.6
Blue74
172918.0
31922.7
581333.7
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7910402040601201401606774

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7407
#28
33.10.5
33.432.9
Auto10.9
Teleop17.8
End4.4
blue by 0.6
33.71.1
40.539.3
Auto15.2
Teleop14.7
End3.9
Second
177
#13
32.10.5
33.933.4
Auto13.0
Teleop17.1
End2.1
red by 9.4
319
#7
22.71.1
25.824.7
Auto7.9
Teleop14.7
End0.1
Third
7869
#46
9.60.5
7.06.5
Auto5.9
Teleop2.1
End1.6
blue by 8.4
1729
#23
18.01.1
24.823.7
Auto11.5
Teleop6.3
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
77%Melody oddsEarned83%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
38%Ensemble oddsMissed52%Ensemble oddsMissed