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Red39
808518.5
271321.8
87245.4
Blue73
12543.9
63246.0
715311.9
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions856802040601001201403973

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2713
#19
21.82.4
34.532.2
Auto9.9
Teleop11.6
End0.4
blue by 22.1
125
#10
43.90.6
39.740.4
Auto14.8
Teleop23.6
End5.6
Second
8085
#42
18.52.4
22.420.1
Auto7.1
Teleop7.6
End3.8
red by 6.6
7153
#35
11.90.6
10.110.7
Auto5.4
Teleop4.3
End2.2
Third
8724
#59
5.42.4
17.715.3
Auto3.1
Teleop1.8
End0.5
blue by 0.6
6324
#44
6.00.6
13.614.3
Auto3.7
Teleop1.8
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
62%Melody oddsMissed21%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
31%Ensemble oddsMissed74%Ensemble oddsMissed