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Red117
110016.7
19012.4
632833.9
Blue94
146831.8
404823.1
147412.5
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1127920406010012014016018011794

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.90.2
50.350.5
Auto14.8
Teleop14.7
End4.5
red by 2.1
1468
#16
31.80.9
30.831.7
Auto10.0
Teleop18.3
End3.5
Second
1100
#56
16.70.2
23.723.8
Auto8.7
Teleop7.2
End0.9
blue by 6.4
23.10.9
28.629.6
Auto11.1
Teleop9.9
End2.1
Third
190
#49
12.40.2
23.223.4
Auto7.8
Teleop3.8
End0.9
blue by 0.1
1474
#38
12.50.9
15.816.7
Auto7.0
Teleop3.6
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
86%Melody oddsEarned89%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
59%Ensemble oddsMissed46%Ensemble oddsEarned