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Red79
10738.9
12617.7
105826.9
Blue56
740733.1
279116.5
19919.6
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions68660501001507956

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1058
#22
26.90.5
30.330.8
Auto10.1
Teleop14.6
End2.1
blue by 6.2
7407
#28
33.10.4
32.932.5
Auto10.9
Teleop17.8
End4.4
Second
126
#54
17.70.5
18.118.6
Auto6.2
Teleop9.3
End2.2
red by 1.2
16.50.4
18.618.2
Auto6.9
Teleop6.8
End2.8
Third
1073
#29
8.90.5
13.113.6
Auto4.5
Teleop3.5
End0.9
blue by 0.6
1991
#55
9.60.4
8.88.4
Auto5.3
Teleop4.0
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
44%Melody oddsEarned78%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed42%Ensemble oddsMissed