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Red70
287219.5
287617.5
944317.4
Blue70
615314.8
208414.0
146831.8
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions76682040601001207070

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2872
#20
19.5
Auto6.8
Teleop11.6
End1.2
blue by 12.3
1468
#16
31.8
Auto10.0
Teleop18.3
End3.5
Second
2876
#21
17.5
Auto10.3
Teleop5.0
End2.3
red by 2.7
6153
#41
14.8
Auto5.1
Teleop9.6
End0.2
Third
9443
#17
17.4
Auto8.8
Teleop6.3
End2.3
red by 3.4
2084
#48
14.0
Auto7.2
Teleop6.9
End-0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
74%Melody oddsEarned82%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
28%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed