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Red72
17732.1
208414.0
31922.7
Blue79
237022.9
870814.9
808518.5
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions795901001502002507279

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
177
#13
32.14.5
36.632.1
Auto13.0
Teleop17.1
End2.1
red by 9.2
2370
#15
22.98.3
31.122.9
Auto10.1
Teleop12.5
End0.3
Second
319
#7
22.70.9
23.522.7
Auto7.9
Teleop14.7
End0.1
red by 4.2
8085
#42
18.58.4
26.818.5
Auto7.1
Teleop7.6
End3.8
Third
2084
#48
14.08.1
22.114.0
Auto7.2
Teleop6.9
End-0.0
blue by 0.9
8708
#34
14.93.0
17.914.9
Auto6.6
Teleop5.6
End2.7