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Red60
964111.7
35932.0
92773.7
Blue34
850310.5
72877.2
21623.3
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions40350102030506070806034

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
359
#1
32.02.1
18.220.3
Auto12.8
Teleop15.9
End3.2
red by 8.6
216
#3
23.30.4
12.211.8
Auto8.0
Teleop13.0
End2.4
Second
9641
#24
11.70.4
11.711.3
Auto4.0
Teleop5.8
End1.9
red by 1.2
8503
#10
10.50.4
9.99.5
Auto3.4
Teleop5.1
End1.9
Third
9277
#33
3.72.1
8.710.8
Auto1.7
Teleop1.7
End0.3
blue by 3.5
7.20.4
10.39.9
Auto2.3
Teleop3.7
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
22%Melody oddsMissed20%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed