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Red47
21623.3
46278.0
97194.7
Blue19
16227.3
425315.9
77966.7
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions334010205060704719

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
216
#3
23.31.6
11.813.4
Auto8.0
Teleop13.0
End2.4
red by 7.4
15.91.8
15.914.0
Auto5.5
Teleop8.8
End1.6
Second
4627
#31
8.01.6
10.712.3
Auto1.0
Teleop5.0
End2.0
red by 0.6
1622
#28
7.31.8
11.910.1
Auto2.3
Teleop3.2
End1.8
Third
9719
#23
4.71.6
7.99.5
Auto1.8
Teleop1.4
End1.4
blue by 2.1
7796
#36
6.71.8
7.86.0
Auto4.1
Teleop1.7
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
17%Melody oddsMissed18%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed