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Red25
96495.6
2447.6
95504.4
Blue35
61885.1
63518.4
964111.7
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions31270102040502535

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
244
#30
7.60.8
11.310.4
Auto2.0
Teleop4.0
End1.6
blue by 4.1
9641
#24
11.70.1
9.99.8
Auto4.0
Teleop5.8
End1.9
Second
9649
#25
5.60.8
8.17.2
Auto2.2
Teleop2.7
End0.7
blue by 2.8
6351
#27
8.40.1
7.67.5
Auto3.7
Teleop3.9
End0.7
Third
9550
#35
4.40.8
8.37.5
Auto1.6
Teleop1.4
End1.3
blue by 0.7
6188
#16
5.10.1
7.67.5
Auto2.8
Teleop1.7
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
13%Melody oddsMissed12%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed