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Red49
427027.8
71909.7
71357.9
Blue26
546117.6
2447.6
16227.3
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions423101020506070804926

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.81.4
20.822.2
Auto8.5
Teleop14.7
End4.6
red by 10.2
17.60.4
12.111.7
Auto6.4
Teleop9.7
End1.5
Second
7190
#12
9.71.4
7.28.5
Auto4.0
Teleop3.9
End1.8
red by 2.1
244
#30
7.60.4
7.87.4
Auto2.0
Teleop4.0
End1.6
Third
7135
#18
7.91.4
8.810.2
Auto4.7
Teleop1.7
End1.5
red by 0.6
1622
#28
7.30.4
9.89.4
Auto2.3
Teleop3.2
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
9%Melody oddsMissed9%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed27%Ensemble oddsMissed