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Red43
92773.7
92926.7
21623.3
Blue37
639013.6
964111.7
76885.6
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33340204060801004337

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
216
#3
23.31.0
16.517.5
Auto8.0
Teleop13.0
End2.4
red by 9.7
6390
#19
13.60.1
13.713.6
Auto7.5
Teleop5.4
End0.7
Second
9292
#20
6.71.0
8.29.2
Auto2.5
Teleop3.1
End1.0
blue by 5.0
9641
#24
11.70.1
10.310.2
Auto4.0
Teleop5.8
End1.9
Third
9277
#33
3.71.0
5.36.3
Auto1.7
Teleop1.7
End0.3
blue by 1.9
7688
#26
5.60.1
6.96.8
Auto2.3
Teleop2.2
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
9%Melody oddsMissed12%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed