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Red33
442117.6
83395.7
61885.1
Blue29
76885.6
77966.7
71909.7
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3725010203050603329

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4421
#11
17.60.1
17.317.4
Auto7.0
Teleop9.4
End1.2
red by 7.9
7190
#12
9.71.1
8.57.4
Auto4.0
Teleop3.9
End1.8
Second
8339
#22
5.70.1
6.86.9
Auto2.5
Teleop2.0
End1.3
blue by 1.0
7796
#36
6.71.1
8.67.5
Auto4.1
Teleop1.7
End0.9
Third
6188
#16
5.10.1
8.08.1
Auto2.8
Teleop1.7
End0.6
blue by 0.5
7688
#26
5.61.1
6.85.7
Auto2.3
Teleop2.2
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
8%Melody oddsMissed7%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsEarned