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Red53
69027.9
546117.6
636420.4
Blue40
850310.5
551610.0
76885.6
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4515010203040506070805340

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.41.4
18.019.4
Auto9.4
Teleop9.2
End1.7
red by 9.9
8503
#10
10.52.1
5.77.9
Auto3.4
Teleop5.1
End1.9
Second
17.61.4
12.213.6
Auto6.4
Teleop9.7
End1.5
red by 7.6
5516
#15
10.02.1
5.98.0
Auto3.4
Teleop6.3
End0.4
Third
6902
#14
7.91.4
7.28.6
Auto3.0
Teleop2.6
End2.3
red by 2.3
7688
#26
5.62.1
5.77.8
Auto2.3
Teleop2.2
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
20%Melody oddsMissed6%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsEarned15%Ensemble oddsMissed