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Red20
76885.6
72877.2
71674.0
Blue14
71357.9
69027.9
97194.7
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions253001020405060702014

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7.21.3
8.67.3
Auto2.3
Teleop3.7
End1.1
blue by 0.7
7135
#18
7.91.6
9.78.1
Auto4.7
Teleop1.7
End1.5
Second
7688
#26
5.61.3
7.86.5
Auto2.3
Teleop2.2
End1.1
blue by 2.3
6902
#14
7.91.6
8.67.0
Auto3.0
Teleop2.6
End2.3
Third
7167
#21
4.01.3
7.15.8
Auto2.5
Teleop0.5
End1.0
blue by 0.7
9719
#23
4.71.6
8.56.9
Auto1.8
Teleop1.4
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
11%Melody oddsMissed17%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed