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Red33
92926.7
639013.6
442117.6
Blue73
427027.8
636420.4
850310.5
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3959020801003373

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4421
#11
17.60.5
17.517.1
Auto7.0
Teleop9.4
End1.2
blue by 10.2
27.81.6
23.725.3
Auto8.5
Teleop14.7
End4.6
Second
6390
#19
13.60.5
14.413.9
Auto7.5
Teleop5.4
End0.7
blue by 6.8
20.41.6
19.421.0
Auto9.4
Teleop9.2
End1.7
Third
9292
#20
6.70.5
6.15.6
Auto2.5
Teleop3.1
End1.0
blue by 3.8
8503
#10
10.51.6
7.99.5
Auto3.4
Teleop5.1
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
10%Melody oddsMissed18%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed20%Ensemble oddsMissed