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Red31
964111.7
16227.3
69027.9
Blue35
72877.2
639013.6
71357.9
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3033102040503135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9641
#24
11.71.2
12.711.5
Auto4.0
Teleop5.8
End1.9
blue by 1.9
6390
#19
13.60.1
13.914.0
Auto7.5
Teleop5.4
End0.7
Second
6902
#14
7.91.2
7.05.8
Auto3.0
Teleop2.6
End2.3
blue by 0.1
7135
#18
7.90.1
8.18.2
Auto4.7
Teleop1.7
End1.5
Third
1622
#28
7.31.2
8.06.8
Auto2.3
Teleop3.2
End1.8
red by 0.1
7.20.1
7.37.3
Auto2.3
Teleop3.7
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
11%Melody oddsMissed11%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed