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Red40
71357.9
16227.3
76885.6
Blue42
850310.5
14528.9
2447.6
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions22280104050604042

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7135
#18
7.90.5
8.28.6
Auto4.7
Teleop1.7
End1.5
blue by 2.5
8503
#10
10.50.3
8.68.9
Auto3.4
Teleop5.1
End1.9
Second
1622
#28
7.30.5
6.87.2
Auto2.3
Teleop3.2
End1.8
blue by 1.6
1452
#17
8.90.3
8.58.8
Auto5.7
Teleop1.7
End1.6
Third
7688
#26
5.60.5
5.45.9
Auto2.3
Teleop2.2
End1.1
blue by 2.0
244
#30
7.60.3
7.57.7
Auto2.0
Teleop4.0
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
5%Melody oddsMissed7%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
20%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed