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Red20
96495.6
964111.7
546117.6
Blue75
636420.4
35932.0
94497.5
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3445102030405060702075

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.61.3
11.410.0
Auto6.4
Teleop9.7
End1.5
blue by 14.3
359
#1
32.03.4
20.323.7
Auto12.8
Teleop15.9
End3.2
Second
9641
#24
11.71.3
11.39.9
Auto4.0
Teleop5.8
End1.9
blue by 8.7
20.43.4
12.415.8
Auto9.4
Teleop9.2
End1.7
Third
9649
#25
5.61.3
9.48.1
Auto2.2
Teleop2.7
End0.7
blue by 1.9
9449
#13
7.53.4
6.510.0
Auto3.0
Teleop3.3
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
15%Melody oddsMissed19%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed