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Red54
546117.6
636420.4
77966.7
Blue30
94497.5
639013.6
918012.9
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions523602060805430

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.40.1
20.520.4
Auto9.4
Teleop9.2
End1.7
red by 6.8
6390
#19
13.60.1
13.713.6
Auto7.5
Teleop5.4
End0.7
Second
17.60.1
17.817.7
Auto6.4
Teleop9.7
End1.5
red by 4.7
12.90.2
13.112.9
Auto3.7
Teleop9.0
End0.2
Third
7796
#36
6.70.1
6.96.8
Auto4.1
Teleop1.7
End0.9
blue by 0.8
9449
#13
7.50.1
7.77.5
Auto3.0
Teleop3.3
End1.3