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Red48
546117.6
636420.4
77966.7
Blue50
71357.9
28817.6
425315.9
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions504710203040607080904850

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.40.0
20.420.4
Auto9.4
Teleop9.2
End1.7
red by 2.8
288
#7
17.60.0
18.118.1
Auto6.4
Teleop9.6
End1.6
Second
17.60.0
17.717.6
Auto6.4
Teleop9.7
End1.5
red by 1.7
15.90.0
16.416.4
Auto5.5
Teleop8.8
End1.6
Third
7796
#36
6.70.0
6.86.7
Auto4.1
Teleop1.7
End0.9
blue by 1.2
7135
#18
7.90.0
8.58.5
Auto4.7
Teleop1.7
End1.5