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Red21
83395.7
71909.7
551610.0
Blue32
94497.5
639013.6
918012.9
19%Model gave it81%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2740010205060702132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5516
#15
10.00.2
10.210.0
Auto3.4
Teleop6.3
End0.4
blue by 3.6
6390
#19
13.60.2
13.913.7
Auto7.5
Teleop5.4
End0.7
Second
7190
#12
9.70.2
9.99.7
Auto4.0
Teleop3.9
End1.8
blue by 3.2
12.90.2
13.213.1
Auto3.7
Teleop9.0
End0.2
Third
8339
#22
5.70.2
5.95.7
Auto2.5
Teleop2.0
End1.3
blue by 1.8
9449
#13
7.50.2
7.87.7
Auto3.0
Teleop3.3
End1.3