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Red82
888217.0
756522.9
115627.5
Blue66
946019.7
916818.0
960219.7
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions755940801001208266

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.50.5
27.027.5
Auto12.7
Teleop12.5
End2.2
red by 7.9
9460
#12
19.70.3
18.919.2
Auto7.3
Teleop11.7
End0.7
Second
7565
#20
22.90.5
22.422.9
Auto7.6
Teleop14.6
End0.7
red by 3.3
19.70.3
18.919.2
Auto6.0
Teleop13.0
End0.6
Third
8882
#25
17.00.5
16.517.0
Auto6.9
Teleop10.0
End0.1
blue by 1.0
9168
#31
18.00.3
17.217.5
Auto6.2
Teleop10.7
End1.1