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Red39
919917.1
91968.3
186013.1
Blue17
92180.6
945912.9
948611.6
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions322710203040503917

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.10.7
9.410.1
Auto6.1
Teleop10.2
End0.9
red by 4.3
9459
#49
12.91.3
8.57.2
Auto4.9
Teleop7.0
End1.0
Second
1860
#18
13.10.7
12.112.8
Auto6.3
Teleop5.5
End1.3
red by 1.5
9486
#17
11.61.3
9.88.5
Auto4.4
Teleop6.6
End0.6
Third
9196
#45
8.30.7
7.17.8
Auto2.6
Teleop5.0
End0.7
red by 7.6
9218
#55
0.61.3
6.55.2
Auto0.3
Teleop0.4
End-0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
16%Melody oddsMissed15%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed