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Red40
96176.8
916916.9
756522.9
Blue48
961110.9
960219.7
916211.3
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4426010203040506070804048

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7565
#20
22.90.3
17.717.3
Auto7.6
Teleop14.6
End0.7
red by 3.3
19.72.2
11.213.4
Auto6.0
Teleop13.0
End0.6
Second
9169
#27
16.90.3
13.913.6
Auto5.5
Teleop10.6
End0.8
red by 5.6
9162
#24
11.32.2
6.78.9
Auto4.2
Teleop6.0
End1.1
Third
9617
#39
6.80.3
6.46.1
Auto3.0
Teleop3.0
End0.9
blue by 4.1
9611
#15
10.92.2
8.210.4
Auto4.4
Teleop5.6
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
23%Melody oddsMissed10%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed20%Ensemble oddsMissed