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Red37
960219.7
640410.6
904713.5
Blue17
92180.6
919917.1
90457.5
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3929010205060703717

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.70.3
13.413.7
Auto6.0
Teleop13.0
End0.6
red by 2.5
17.11.2
13.912.7
Auto6.1
Teleop10.2
End0.9
Second
13.50.3
10.610.9
Auto5.0
Teleop7.2
End1.2
red by 5.9
9045
#34
7.51.2
10.39.2
Auto3.5
Teleop3.7
End0.3
Third
6404
#32
10.60.3
10.210.5
Auto3.7
Teleop5.3
End1.6
red by 10.0
9218
#55
0.61.2
3.32.1
Auto0.3
Teleop0.4
End-0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
14%Melody oddsMissed19%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed